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Kontrarian Korner Solo Episode

Taking A Look At Sable's 10-Q, What Comes After The Fire Marshal & Thoughts On Oil And The Markets

I originally had a podcast guest lined up for yesterday, but work roped him in, so he will be coming on next week. There wasn’t anything groundbreaking from Sable Offshore’s SOC 0.00%↑ 10-Q, but there were a couple things worth mentioning in there. I also went into a couple other things with oil, and a couple pieces on broader markets that I found interesting.



Podcast Summary

  • Thoughts on the 10-Q (nothing earth shattering), mainly that they have enough cash to get things started up without further dilution.

  • Why I’m not worried about the 10 day waiting period that comes after OSFM signoff, and some of the nuances there.

  • Short interest ticking up at the end of July.

  • ZeroHedge: How Oil Production Might Help California Meet Its Environmental Goals

  • Ranting on the recent IEA forecast.

  • A quick update on Cenovus’ bid for MEG Energy.

  • Jorge Arjona’s Thread on Oil (a good Twitter account to follow).

  • Thoughts on what assumptions are baked into market valuations

  • AI and the massive capex spend, and why I don’t think it will be that much different from previous spending booms.

  • Tariffs and the restructuring of the economy, and why economists might need to revisit some of their assumptions.


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