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Kontrarian Korner #81 - Purple Drink Capital

The Fed Meeting, The State Of The Market & The Periodic Table Lighting Up

Yesterday, I had

back on the podcast for an update on what he is seeing in markets. We talked about the recent Fed meeting and broader markets, and we also bounced around the different commodity sectors. He explained what he looks for in the charts and how it impacts his strategy, but it was a great conversation for a broad look at financial markets as we head into 2026. For anyone listening on Apple Podcasts or Spotify, we were looking at charts a fair bit, so you might want to switch over to Substack or YouTube. You can find his Substack below, but you can also find him on Twitter.



Podcast Summary

  • The recent Fed meeting, and how it sets up the market from here.

  • Signs of life in the small caps IWM 0.00%↑ and the Dow Jones Transportation Index.

  • Skepticism around AI CAPEX and the tech sector.

  • Why he focuses on price action, market cycles, and why he thinks the broader market should be fine until inflation rears its ugly head.

  • The whole periodic table lighting up as we get rate cuts with relatively stubborn inflation.

  • What he expects for gold and silver in 2026.

  • Why he thinks copper will really kick into gear when China kicks into gear.

  • Why he focuses on bellwethers for different sectors, like Newmont NEM 0.00%↑ for gold, Freeport FCX 0.00%↑ for copper, and Exxon Mobil XOM 0.00%↑ for oil and gas.

  • What his process looks like, and why focuses on charts as a way to distill where buyers and sellers are willing to step in for any security.

  • Natural gas, his career experience in energy, and why he hates the sector with volatility and its exposure to weather.

  • Uranium, the Trump Administration involvement in the sector, and why he likes the setup for the next couple years.

  • How oil and gas is out of favor, why he likes the setup for back half of 2026, and why he pays more attention to Exxon breaking out than the oil price.

  • Podcast Recommendation: The Athletic Football Show.


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