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Kontrarian Korner #37 - Tommy Deepwater

A Deep Dive Into Deepwater, Offshore Oilfield Services & The State Of The Offshore Bull Cycle

Yesterday I was able to talk with

Deepwater, who has been following offshore oil services for more than a decade, with a focus on deepwater. We talked about some of the recent news from the sector, the trend of consolidation and M&A, and where the offshore cycle sits today. His Twitter is a must follow for his weekly updates on the sector. It was a great follow up to my podcast series on oil, and if you’re interested in offshore oilfield services, specifically deepwater, you will enjoy it.



Podcast Summary

  • Noble NE 0.00%↑ retiring a couple drillships, and why parts of the stacked fleet will continue to be retired.

  • Why higher spec stacked drillships are more likely to be reactivated.

  • Why he thinks Transocean RIG 0.00%↑ has the highest quality active fleet.

  • The Transocean & Seadrill SDRL 0.00%↑ M&A rumors, and future consolidation of the sector.

  • How the offshore bull cycle has been delayed, the picture for 2025/2026, and where day rates have to go to see new builds.

  • His thoughts on jackups, Borr Drilling BORR 0.00%↑, and their asset quality.

  • The OSV market, Tidewater TDW 0.00%↑, and how OSVs will benefit from increased activity in the deepwater sector.

  • Why he finds FPSOs (Floating Production Storage Offloading units) interesting.

  • Namibia, Colombia, and Suriname as potential geographies for new long-term drillship demand.

  • Book Recommendation: Chip War by Chris Miller.


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